03-07-2024, 03:57 PM in response to #58512
03-07-2024, 03:57 PM in response to #58512 03-07-2024, 04:23 PM in response to #58508 Yeoman Wrote: It's not very well researched though is it ? Pretty certain he's only talking about England but agree that could've been worded better if so. Ben runs Britain Elects, which is probably the model I'll be basing my predictions from as its done very well in predicting by-elections and council elections for the past few years. He'll be posting his final model for the election tonight. 03-07-2024, 04:28 PM in response to #58523 JonnyJ Wrote: Pretty certain he's only talking about England but agree that could've been worded better if so. Nowhere does he say England and Wales only in it, and his map includes Scotland and references 7 constituencies in Scotland. 03-07-2024, 04:52 PM in response to #58526 Yeoman Wrote: Nowhere does he say England and Wales only in it, and his map includes Scotland and references 7 constituencies in Scotland. I mean, I'm just going out on a limb and say that Ben would know that the LDs are also contesting SNP held seats, given it's his literal job and that was just a poorly worded article that didn't stipulate the area of the country rather than him genuinely not having a clue about those SNP seats that are included in his actual model but maybe its just me. 03-07-2024, 05:41 PM in response to #58535 JonnyJ Wrote: I mean, I'm just going out on a limb and say that Ben would know that the LDs are also contesting SNP held seats, given it's his literal job and that was just a poorly worded article that didn't stipulate the area of the country rather than him genuinely not having a clue about those SNP seats that are included in his actual model but maybe its just me. Probably yes, I agree with you. It’s just incredibly sloppy writing not to bother reading it through properly before publishing 03-07-2024, 05:46 PM in response to #58499 03-07-2024, 05:50 PM (This post was last modified: 03-07-2024, 05:51 PM by Bullsgold.) in response to #58549 Marked Ox Wrote: According to the Ipsos MORI representative on Politics Live today, turnout in 2019 was predicted to be around 73%. Apparently it is pretty much always overstated and it is predicted to be around 66% this time iirc. At the moment, I can't be arsed. I might just go to the pub to tomorrow to celebrate instead. 03-07-2024, 05:57 PM in response to #58546 03-07-2024, 06:48 PM in response to #58556 03-07-2024, 09:52 PM in response to #58549 Marked Ox Wrote: According to the Ipsos MORI representative on Politics Live today, turnout in 2019 was predicted to be around 73%. Apparently it is pretty much always overstated and it is predicted to be around 66% this time iirc. And this time the Tories have been sending postal votes to the shredder. |
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