05-06-2024, 06:17 PM in response to #51351
05-06-2024, 06:17 PM in response to #51351 05-06-2024, 06:25 PM in response to #51353
Two days ago, odds for both Lib Dems and Tories were quoted at 11/10 in Woking.
Up pops Farage. They're now at 4/11 and 2/1 respectively. 05-06-2024, 08:54 PM in response to #51351 05-06-2024, 09:07 PM in response to #51353
Old Bexley & Sidcup. 2/9 Tories. Rishi could go on a killing spree on live TV and my constituency will still stay Blue.
05-06-2024, 09:30 PM in response to #51371 06-06-2024, 03:53 PM in response to #51371 Uptheshots Wrote: Do you understand the difference between winning a seat and holding a seat? It's an interesting point. When they give the results at the GE, I thought they give the gains and losses WRT to the previous general election , and ignore any intervening by-elections. So therefore Clacton would be described in 2015 as "UKIP gain" as per electionpolling https://www.electionpolling.co.uk/consti...nt/clacton Our local seat Glasto & Somerton is being described as an LD targeted 'gain' despite the fact we already have an LD MP. However Wikipedia reports differently. There doesn't seem to be any hard and fast rules for this, so to me you could describe it equally as a gain or hold. And certainly not clear cut enough either way to warrant a load of snide point scoring. 06-06-2024, 04:46 PM in response to #51490 Yeoman Wrote: It's an interesting point. When they give the results at the GE, I thought they give the gains and losses WRT to the previous general election , and ignore any intervening by-elections. So therefore Clacton would be described in 2015 as "UKIP gain" as per electionpolling Interesting, cheers. I guess politically should the LDs be successful in G&S they would rather portray it as a gain rather than the hold even though it seems like the latter IMO. No bother on the snide comments, wanky attempts at oneupmanship is one of the core values of this place 29-06-2024, 08:32 PM in response to #51353
I've just stuck £100, which Nationwide gifted me recently, on the Lib Dems to win Maidenhead. £67 @ 5/2 and the rest @ 2/1.
The Tories are 4/9 favourites, but there's nothing but Lib Dem skateboards around me. Hoping it doesn't happen, as the Lib Dem candidate was instrumental in kiboshing the MUFC ground move. Insurance. |
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