03-07-2024, 04:23 PM in response to #58508
Yeoman Wrote: It's not very well researched though is it ?
The Liberal Democrats have had a very good election campaign. Their range is somewhere between 37 and 76 seats, and they are encroaching on Conservative territory. Of the 86 seats they have a fighting chance in, all but one are currently Tory held. In around 40 to 50 of these seats, a Liberal Democrat win will be a result of a Conservative collapse rather than a Lib Dem surge.
That's wrong. They are neck and neck with Labour in Hallam, and with the SNP in 3 seats in Scotland - 4 of their top 10 targets.
Pretty certain he's only talking about England but agree that could've been worded better if so.
Ben runs Britain Elects, which is probably the model I'll be basing my predictions from as its done very well in predicting by-elections and council elections for the past few years. He'll be posting his final model for the election tonight.