03-07-2024, 02:19 PM in response to #58485
JonnyJ Wrote: This is a good little piece by Ben Walker that expands on my point about how it could really go either way for the Tories, as he points out, they are just as likely to end up on 17 seats as they are 167. That's how many seats are basically a toss up.
https://sotn.newstatesman.com/2024/07/ho...servatives
"In around 40 to 50 of these seats, a Liberal Democrat win will be a result of a Conservative collapse rather than a Lib Dem surge"
That's interesting to me, because it chimes anecdotally. In my experience, there is little or no enthusiasm for Labour or the Lib Dems, but there is antipathy towards the Tories - from those who would never vote Tory and those who have always voted Tory. I suspect a good number of the latter group won't vote (with the rest of them switching to Reform if they can), so it'll be interesting to see what voter turnout is like. It could be very low, which will only add to the 'unrepresentativeness'.