03-07-2024, 01:40 PM in response to #58463
JonnyJ Wrote: Yep, they're getting eaten by FPTP. Once you get below something like a 25% vote share, almost every seat is in play.
This is what I think a lot of people haven't got their heads round yet, probably because the Conservatives have never polled below 30% in their history but just consider that in 97 the Tories got 165 seats on 30%, they're currently averaging 21%, of course sub 100 is possible, especially with the amount of tactical voting and the fact that John Major and the Tory Party in 97 had nothing like the unfavourability of Rishi Sunak's Govt.
FPTP will soon be on its death bed. People will go on about the shoe being on the other foot now that the Conservatives have (or will have) suffered because of it, and point to the 1983 general election, but tactical voting in the social media age brings a completely different element.