03-07-2024, 09:16 AM in response to #58364
JonnyJ Wrote: Disagree. Blame the media for them becoming the news, they are perfectly capable of doing stories on policy but they don't want to, they're all far too encapsulated in the drama of who might be losing their seat.
The more polling you have the more chance you have of aggregating an accurate result.
The truth is because of the bizarreness of this election, with the Tories at record low vote share and Reform involved there are just way, way more marginal seats than ever before. If you combine all the MRP polls together they only agree on 8 seats that the Tories will hold with confidence. Tiny swings in vote share and turnout could be the difference in the Tories getting 60 seats or getting 170. Both are entirely possible and both are currently been predicted by pollsters depending on who you look at and what methodology they use.
Exactly my thoughts, Obviously I could be completely wrong but well worth the Odds IMO. Recent history has shown that the Tories tend to outperform polls on the day. This is my main bet so far.